The week of January 9, 2026

Weekly Economic & Business Outlook

Latest Economic Outlook
  • Despite a 4.3% GDP surge in late 2025, U.S. labor markets continue to lag.
  • Technology, including AI, and cost pressures allow employers to sustain output with fewer workers.
  • In 2026, staffing firms must prioritize value-added services over candidate volume.
Latest Staffing Research
  • Staffing employment showed modest recovery in 2025, but fourth-quarter data revealed setbacks.
  • A historic government shutdown and slowing health care demand reduced hiring.
  • While tax changes, lower rates, and labor shortages may support recovery, staffing firms must be prepared for uneven demand.

The ASA Weekly Economic Business Outlook is for members of the American Staffing Association.

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Staffing in 60 Seconds

Here’s an abridged preview of our latest insights on the current state of the staffing industry and the economy at large. It’s the most powerful and targeted data and analysis tool available to staffing professionals—released exclusively to ASA members each and every week!


This Week’s Economic Outlook
  • Average hourly earnings have struggled to keep pace with inflation.
  • Compensation will continue to outpace inflation given declining inflation, moderating labor market dynamics, and lower interest rates.
  • Staffing firms can keep offers competitive by accounting for inflation dynamics.
This Week’s Staffing Research
  • Elevated inflation and interest rates have increased compensation demands by workers.
  • A recent ASA Workforce Monitor® found many U.S. workers are still concerned about their finances.
  • Pessimism among workers regarding their finances has reduced labor churn.

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