The week of March 18, 2026

Weekly Economic & Business Outlook

Latest Economic Outlook
  • The latest estimate for economic growth in 4Q2025 has been cut in half.
  • Since the end of the pandemic, second estimates have been largely consistent with first estimates.
  • The economy enters the latest crisis on weaker footing, with lower growth and rising prices.
Latest Staffing Research
  • Worker confidence is subdued amid sluggish hiring and economic uncertainty.
  • CEO confidence eased in March on concerns of worsening inflation and potential economic slowdown.
  • Future-looking signals around hiring suggest there may yet be growth ahead.

The ASA Weekly Economic Business Outlook is for members of the American Staffing Association.

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This Week’s Economic Outlook
  • Average hourly earnings have struggled to keep pace with inflation.
  • Compensation will continue to outpace inflation given declining inflation, moderating labor market dynamics, and lower interest rates.
  • Staffing firms can keep offers competitive by accounting for inflation dynamics.
This Week’s Staffing Research
  • Elevated inflation and interest rates have increased compensation demands by workers.
  • A recent ASA Workforce Monitor® found many U.S. workers are still concerned about their finances.
  • Pessimism among workers regarding their finances has reduced labor churn.

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